Connor McDavid vs Jonathan Marchessault
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +22.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Marchessault 40.1% (+22.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 59.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.0%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 58.9%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
McDavid
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
0
1
McDavid
Marchessault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
25.4% (63)
+22.3%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
25.0% (4)
+26.9%
On power play, McDavid has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Marchessault is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
McDavid
Marchessault
Home
47.3% (387)
30.0% (30)
Away
48.1% (389)
21.6% (37)
By Period
McDavid
Marchessault
P1
47.6%
15.6%
P2
50.0%
34.6%
P3
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |