Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Couture 48.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 86.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 54.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 76.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
McDavid
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
McDavid
Couture
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
2
McDavid
Couture
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
4
McDavid
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
10
6
McDavid
Couture
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
48.7% (986)
+5.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
58.5% (94)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
44.1% (195)
-10.8%
On power play, Couture has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couture
Home
53.6% (507)
47.2% (625)
Away
53.8% (539)
50.2% (650)
By Period
McDavid
Couture
P1
52.6%
46.8%
P2
54.1%
49.8%
P3
54.9%
49.8%
OT
44.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Logan Couture |