Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Kunin 45.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.3%
Defensive zone
Kunin 77.8%
Neutral zone
Kunin 57.7%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
McDavid
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McDavid
Kunin
Last 9: McDavid 3-6 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Kunin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
4
McDavid
Kunin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kunin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
47.7% (369)
-0.8%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
44.4% (36)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
26.9% (67)
+18.6%
On power play, McDavid has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. McDavid is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
McDavid shoots left. Kunin is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kunin
Home
49.9% (353)
45.3% (223)
Away
45.4% (317)
43.8% (249)
By Period
McDavid
Kunin
P1
46.6%
47.5%
P2
50.9%
44.8%
P3
45.9%
40.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |