Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Kunin 46.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 56.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 79.3%
Neutral zone
Kunin 66.9%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
McDavid
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
McDavid
Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
2
McDavid
Kunin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
2
McDavid
Kunin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
48.9% (366)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
34.6% (26)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
35.2% (88)
+1.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Kunin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kunin
Home
51.8% (415)
45.7% (245)
Away
50.4% (450)
45.5% (235)
By Period
McDavid
Kunin
P1
47.5%
46.5%
P2
51.6%
45.0%
P3
55.5%
44.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |