Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Kunin 46.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 50.3%
Defensive zone
Kunin 73.0%
Neutral zone
Kunin 64.7%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
McDavid
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
McDavid
Kunin
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Kunin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
7
McDavid
Kunin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
3
McDavid
Kunin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
47.1% (1,622)
+0.6%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
46.4% (138)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
40.2% (333)
+3.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kunin
Home
49.3% (4,570)
45.5% (1,048)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
46.4% (1,045)
By Period
McDavid
Kunin
P1
46.5%
47.9%
P2
48.7%
45.7%
P3
48.3%
43.9%
OT
40.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |