Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Kunin 51.1% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.5%
Defensive zone
Kunin 65.8%
Neutral zone
Kunin 53.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
McDavid
Kunin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
52.7% (260)
-5.2%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
62.5% (8)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
43.6% (55)
+2.9%
On power play, Kunin has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. McDavid is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McDavid shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kunin
Home
50.2% (400)
51.7% (151)
Away
44.7% (365)
51.2% (172)
By Period
McDavid
Kunin
P1
47.5%
55.1%
P2
48.6%
55.3%
P3
46.7%
43.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%