Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Domi 53.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 63.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 60.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
McDavid
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
McDavid
Domi
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
McDavid
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
3
McDavid
Domi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Domi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
53.8% (847)
-2.3%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
52.1% (96)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
57.1% (7)
-5.9%
On power play, McDavid has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
McDavid
Domi
Home
50.7% (513)
53.9% (445)
Away
53.2% (498)
53.5% (505)
By Period
McDavid
Domi
P1
52.3%
51.4%
P2
51.6%
55.3%
P3
51.7%
54.7%
OT
100.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |