Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Domi 50.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 51.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
McDavid
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
McDavid
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
49.7% (499)
-2.0%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
56.8% (44)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
0.0% (1)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
McDavid
Domi
Home
47.3% (387)
51.0% (298)
Away
48.1% (389)
49.2% (246)
By Period
McDavid
Domi
P1
47.6%
54.8%
P2
50.0%
48.9%
P3
45.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |