Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Zibanejad 50.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 83.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 73.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 81.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
McDavid
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
McDavid
Zibanejad
Last 8: McDavid 6-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
McDavid
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
50.8% (1,073)
-10.1%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
52.5% (118)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
45.2% (115)
+4.8%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McDavid is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
McDavid shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Home / Away
McDavid
Zibanejad
Home
42.7% (323)
52.9% (682)
Away
39.5% (281)
47.8% (624)
By Period
McDavid
Zibanejad
P1
42.3%
47.5%
P2
37.3%
52.8%
P3
43.4%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
36.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |