Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). McDavid wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.0% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 76.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 59.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
McDavid
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
McDavid
Zibanejad
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
McDavid
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
7
McDavid
Zibanejad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (862)
49.5% (1,211)
-2.6%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
52.8% (214)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
47.4% (247)
-3.0%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McDavid is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (330).
McDavid shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
McDavid
Zibanejad
Home
47.9% (478)
52.8% (825)
Away
45.2% (440)
46.6% (848)
By Period
McDavid
Zibanejad
P1
45.9%
50.8%
P2
47.7%
46.5%
P3
46.6%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |