Connor McDavid vs Oskar Sundqvist
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.4%). McDavid wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.6% vs Sundqvist 48.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 66.0%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 51.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
McDavid
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McDavid
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
McDavid
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (540)
47.2% (284)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
80.0% (10)
-27.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
43.7% (71)
+8.9%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. McDavid is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McDavid shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
McDavid
Sundqvist
Home
49.8% (325)
45.4% (185)
Away
44.6% (316)
49.4% (180)
By Period
McDavid
Sundqvist
P1
46.2%
44.6%
P2
48.6%
48.5%
P3
47.1%
49.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.3%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |