Connor McDavid vs Oskar Sundqvist
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.0%). McDavid wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.1%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 66.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
McDavid
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McDavid
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
McDavid
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
46.8% (301)
+0.7%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
80.0% (10)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
43.5% (85)
+3.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. McDavid is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McDavid shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
McDavid
Sundqvist
Home
50.2% (400)
46.0% (189)
Away
44.7% (365)
47.8% (207)
By Period
McDavid
Sundqvist
P1
47.5%
44.7%
P2
48.6%
47.6%
P3
46.7%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |