Connor McDavid vs Oskar Sundqvist
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 64.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 76.2%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 60.7%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
McDavid
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McDavid
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
2
McDavid
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
4
McDavid
Sundqvist
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
45.0% (500)
+2.7%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
54.5% (22)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
46.0% (50)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
McDavid
Sundqvist
Home
47.3% (387)
45.5% (255)
Away
48.1% (389)
45.4% (317)
By Period
McDavid
Sundqvist
P1
47.6%
40.9%
P2
50.0%
46.9%
P3
45.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |