Connor McDavid vs Oskar Sundqvist
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 78.5%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 55.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
McDavid
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
McDavid
Sundqvist
Last 10: McDavid 8-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
7
2
McDavid
Sundqvist
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
4
McDavid
Sundqvist
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
McDavid
Sundqvist
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
44.2% (2,842)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
51.0% (98)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
41.6% (385)
+1.8%
On even strength, McDavid has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
McDavid
Sundqvist
Home
49.3% (4,570)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
McDavid
Sundqvist
P1
46.5%
42.8%
P2
48.7%
45.6%
P3
48.3%
43.7%
OT
40.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |