Connor McDavid vs Phillip Danault
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Danault 52.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 79.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 66.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 71.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
McDavid
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McDavid
Danault
Last 8: McDavid 2-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
McDavid
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
McDavid
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
52.4% (958)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
62.0% (71)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
47.6% (187)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
McDavid
Danault
Home
47.3% (387)
51.2% (605)
Away
48.1% (389)
53.2% (611)
By Period
McDavid
Danault
P1
47.6%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
45.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |