Connor McDavid vs Phillip Danault

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Phillip Danault holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 47 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Danault 53.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor Danault leads 79-72 in 151 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 72.2%
Defensive zone Danault 51.2%
Neutral zone McDavid 60.2%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
McDavid Danault
Head-to-Head Record
72 - 79 (151 meetings)
72
79
McDavid Danault
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Danault

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
28
11
McDavid Danault
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
12
35
McDavid Danault
47 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
32
33
McDavid Danault
65 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
53.6% (9,447)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
61.4% (757)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
47.4% (1,702)
-4.0%
On power play, Danault has a +9.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Danault shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Home / Away
McDavid
Danault
Home
49.3% (4,570)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
McDavid
Danault
P1
46.5%
53.7%
P2
48.7%
53.5%
P3
48.3%
52.7%
OT
40.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.1%
52.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.7%
Danault
54.0%
57.5%
53.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 13, 2025 3 16:19 Offensive Connor McDavid
Jan 13, 2025 3 15:22 Neutral Phillip Danault
Jan 13, 2025 3 13:46 Defensive Phillip Danault
Jan 13, 2025 3 01:48 Defensive Phillip Danault
Jan 13, 2025 2 01:36 Neutral Phillip Danault
Jan 13, 2025 1 05:09 Offensive Phillip Danault
Dec 28, 2024 2 10:42 Neutral Phillip Danault
Dec 28, 2024 2 00:25 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 28, 2024 3 15:32 Neutral Phillip Danault
Mar 28, 2024 2 19:32 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 28, 2024 1 14:11 Defensive Phillip Danault
Feb 26, 2024 3 09:37 Neutral Connor McDavid
Feb 26, 2024 3 06:48 Defensive Phillip Danault
Feb 26, 2024 2 19:00 Neutral Phillip Danault
Feb 26, 2024 2 18:53 Neutral Phillip Danault
Feb 10, 2024 3 07:13 Neutral Connor McDavid
Feb 10, 2024 3 07:06 Neutral Connor McDavid
Feb 10, 2024 2 17:34 Defensive Phillip Danault
Feb 10, 2024 2 11:00 Defensive Phillip Danault
Feb 10, 2024 2 05:22 Defensive Phillip Danault