Connor McDavid vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Danault 54.8% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 71.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McDavid
Danault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
56.5% (711)
-9.0%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
46.0% (50)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
51.7% (116)
-5.2%
On even strength, Danault has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
McDavid
Danault
Home
50.2% (400)
57.0% (379)
Away
44.7% (365)
54.0% (498)
By Period
McDavid
Danault
P1
47.5%
55.8%
P2
48.6%
55.3%
P3
46.7%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%