Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 49.6% vs Engvall 45.1% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 92.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 70.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 79.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
McDavid
Engvall
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
McDavid
Engvall
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Engvall
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid
Engvall
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Engvall
0
3
McDavid
Engvall
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
0
McDavid
Engvall
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (621)
42.1% (221)
+7.0%
Power Play
78.6% (14)
55.6% (9)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
57.1% (7)
-57.1%
On penalty kill, Engvall has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
McDavid shoots left. Engvall is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
McDavid
Engvall
Home
56.1% (330)
47.1% (104)
Away
42.5% (308)
39.8% (133)
By Period
McDavid
Engvall
P1
49.2%
43.3%
P2
47.4%
45.4%
P3
53.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |