Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Engvall 50.6% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 63.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
McDavid
Engvall
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
42.9% (49)
+8.6%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
84.6% (13)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
50.0% (2)
+1.2%
On power play, Engvall has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Engvall is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
McDavid
Engvall
Home
50.7% (513)
62.2% (37)
Away
53.2% (498)
37.0% (27)
By Period
McDavid
Engvall
P1
52.3%
69.6%
P2
51.6%
50.0%
P3
51.7%
26.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.6%