Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Engvall shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Engvall 46.7% (+11.7%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 54.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
McDavid
Engvall
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
44.4% (45)
+9.9%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
12.5% (8)
+32.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.0% (16)
-16.7%
On power play, McDavid has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Engvall is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
McDavid
Engvall
Home
53.6% (507)
30.3% (33)
Away
53.8% (539)
52.8% (36)
By Period
McDavid
Engvall
P1
52.6%
52.6%
P2
54.1%
34.8%
P3
54.9%
40.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%