Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Engvall 48.7% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Engvall 54.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 68.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
McDavid
Engvall
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
45.7% (46)
+5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
50.0% (8)
+0.0%
On even strength, McDavid has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Engvall is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
McDavid
Engvall
Home
51.8% (415)
38.1% (21)
Away
50.4% (450)
51.5% (33)
By Period
McDavid
Engvall
P1
47.5%
37.0%
P2
51.6%
56.3%
P3
55.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
46.3%