Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Strome 45.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
McDavid
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McDavid
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
McDavid
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
44.1% (749)
+10.2%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
46.2% (52)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
52.9% (17)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
McDavid
Strome
Home
53.6% (507)
45.1% (441)
Away
53.8% (539)
43.5% (377)
By Period
McDavid
Strome
P1
52.6%
42.9%
P2
54.1%
44.4%
P3
54.9%
45.8%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |