Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Strome 44.4% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 76.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 86.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 75.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
McDavid
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
McDavid
Strome
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
McDavid
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
6
McDavid
Strome
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
43.0% (788)
+8.5%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
47.9% (96)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
50.0% (34)
+1.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
McDavid
Strome
Home
50.7% (513)
42.6% (486)
Away
53.2% (498)
45.1% (432)
By Period
McDavid
Strome
P1
52.3%
41.0%
P2
51.6%
47.8%
P3
51.7%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |