Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Bennett 47.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 81.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 58.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
McDavid
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
McDavid
Bennett
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
1
McDavid
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
McDavid
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
48.2% (766)
+3.3%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
45.1% (82)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
33.9% (56)
+17.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bennett
Home
50.7% (513)
49.1% (458)
Away
53.2% (498)
44.8% (446)
By Period
McDavid
Bennett
P1
52.3%
47.9%
P2
51.6%
47.2%
P3
51.7%
46.4%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |