Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Bennett 45.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 78.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 74.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
McDavid
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McDavid
Bennett
Last 7: McDavid 5-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
44.7% (772)
+6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
56.9% (58)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
42.9% (28)
-6.5%
On even strength, McDavid has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bennett
Home
51.8% (415)
48.5% (447)
Away
50.4% (450)
42.1% (411)
By Period
McDavid
Bennett
P1
47.5%
47.1%
P2
51.6%
45.8%
P3
55.5%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |