Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.1%). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Blueger 52.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 81.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 72.7%
Neutral zone
Blueger 54.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
McDavid
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McDavid
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
53.9% (529)
+0.4%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.0% (6)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.4% (137)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Blueger has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
McDavid
Blueger
Home
53.6% (507)
54.3% (335)
Away
53.8% (539)
51.9% (337)
By Period
McDavid
Blueger
P1
52.6%
50.3%
P2
54.1%
55.2%
P3
54.9%
53.5%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |