Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Blueger 50.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 69.8%
Defensive zone
Blueger 79.7%
Neutral zone
Blueger 66.4%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
McDavid
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McDavid
Blueger
Last 5: McDavid 3-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
McDavid
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
53.3% (745)
-5.6%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
45.5% (11)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
41.7% (259)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Blueger has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
McDavid
Blueger
Home
47.3% (387)
53.4% (504)
Away
48.1% (389)
47.2% (511)
By Period
McDavid
Blueger
P1
47.6%
46.6%
P2
50.0%
53.0%
P3
45.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |