Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.0%). Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Blueger 51.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 83.5%
Defensive zone
Blueger 72.9%
Neutral zone
Blueger 53.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
McDavid
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McDavid
Blueger
Last 8: McDavid 4-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
McDavid
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
54.1% (425)
-2.6%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
100.0% (6)
-36.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
43.8% (144)
+7.4%
On power play, Blueger has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
McDavid
Blueger
Home
50.7% (513)
52.5% (282)
Away
53.2% (498)
51.5% (293)
By Period
McDavid
Blueger
P1
52.3%
49.2%
P2
51.6%
57.2%
P3
51.7%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |