Connor McDavid vs Vincent Trocheck
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.6%). Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 57.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
McDavid
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McDavid
Trocheck
Last 6: McDavid 3-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
McDavid
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
54.3% (955)
+0.0%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
64.6% (96)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
51.0% (194)
-17.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
McDavid
Trocheck
Home
53.6% (507)
58.3% (604)
Away
53.8% (539)
51.2% (641)
By Period
McDavid
Trocheck
P1
52.6%
53.9%
P2
54.1%
55.7%
P3
54.9%
54.3%
OT
44.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |