Connor McDavid vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 56.8%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 57.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
McDavid
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
57.8% (626)
-10.3%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
63.6% (151)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
44.0% (141)
+2.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McDavid is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McDavid shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
McDavid
Trocheck
Home
50.2% (400)
54.4% (390)
Away
44.7% (365)
58.3% (528)
By Period
McDavid
Trocheck
P1
47.5%
56.4%
P2
48.6%
58.7%
P3
46.7%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%