Connor McDavid vs Vincent Trocheck
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 64.1%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 74.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 73.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
McDavid
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McDavid
Trocheck
Last 5: McDavid 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
McDavid
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
59.6% (1,032)
-11.9%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
62.1% (253)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
55.4% (249)
-33.2%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
McDavid
Trocheck
Home
47.3% (387)
61.7% (786)
Away
48.1% (389)
56.8% (748)
By Period
McDavid
Trocheck
P1
47.6%
61.7%
P2
50.0%
58.8%
P3
45.0%
57.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |