Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Lazar 49.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 74.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 71.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 55.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
McMichael
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
McMichael
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
51.3% (232)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
37.8% (45)
-37.8%
On power play, McMichael has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. McMichael is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (122).
McMichael shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
McMichael
Lazar
Home
42.7% (178)
43.5% (131)
Away
43.1% (167)
53.7% (147)
By Period
McMichael
Lazar
P1
40.7%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
36.9%
41.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |