Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.2% vs Cozens 53.1% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 63.3%
Defensive zone
McMichael 64.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 50.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
McMichael
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McMichael
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
McMichael
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (367)
52.9% (518)
-10.1%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
59.5% (79)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
33.3% (6)
+5.6%
On even strength, Cozens has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. McMichael is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (156).
McMichael shoots left. Cozens is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
McMichael
Cozens
Home
43.4% (267)
54.1% (331)
Away
42.5% (221)
52.9% (272)
By Period
McMichael
Cozens
P1
46.2%
56.3%
P2
41.3%
51.0%
P3
42.3%
54.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |