Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Cozens 52.9% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 73.3%
Defensive zone
McMichael 66.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
McMichael
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
McMichael
Cozens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
52.6% (606)
-10.2%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
58.5% (94)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
33.3% (6)
+7.3%
On even strength, Cozens has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
McMichael
Cozens
Home
43.0% (298)
54.1% (375)
Away
42.5% (252)
52.3% (331)
By Period
McMichael
Cozens
P1
46.5%
55.8%
P2
41.1%
50.6%
P3
41.3%
53.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |