Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Cozens 45.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 53.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 55.0%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McMichael
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
McMichael
Cozens
Last 10: McMichael 5-5 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
0
McMichael
Cozens
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
6
McMichael
Cozens
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
2
McMichael
Cozens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
46.7% (786)
-3.3%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
43.9% (171)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
42.3% (189)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
McMichael
Cozens
Home
42.1% (444)
46.2% (567)
Away
42.8% (428)
44.9% (579)
By Period
McMichael
Cozens
P1
42.5%
46.5%
P2
41.9%
46.5%
P3
42.5%
44.2%
OT
100.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
39.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |