Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Cozens 50.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 53.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 55.8%
Neutral zone
McMichael 50.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
McMichael
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McMichael
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
McMichael
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
51.4% (891)
-7.7%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
50.5% (184)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
42.4% (85)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. McMichael is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (39).
McMichael shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
McMichael
Cozens
Home
42.6% (54)
49.5% (638)
Away
50.9% (55)
51.9% (522)
By Period
McMichael
Cozens
P1
42.9%
51.9%
P2
40.5%
46.4%
P3
57.1%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |