Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Staal 56.8% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 62.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
McMichael
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McMichael
Staal
Last 5: McMichael 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
McMichael
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
58.9% (1,041)
-15.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.4% (73)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
49.1% (171)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
McMichael
Staal
Home
42.7% (178)
59.0% (578)
Away
43.1% (167)
55.9% (707)
By Period
McMichael
Staal
P1
40.7%
57.1%
P2
50.0%
60.9%
P3
36.9%
55.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |