Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Staal 54.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 56.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.0%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
McMichael
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McMichael
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
57.0% (1,017)
-13.3%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
57.7% (26)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
45.1% (286)
+7.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
McMichael shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
McMichael
Staal
Home
42.6% (54)
54.3% (667)
Away
50.9% (55)
54.7% (662)
By Period
McMichael
Staal
P1
42.9%
56.2%
P2
40.5%
57.0%
P3
57.1%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%