Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Staal 57.6% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 62.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.2%
Neutral zone
McMichael 52.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
McMichael
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
McMichael
Staal
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
5
1
McMichael
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
5
McMichael
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
58.9% (1,096)
-15.5%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
68.4% (57)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
51.8% (222)
-21.0%
On power play, Staal has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
McMichael
Staal
Home
42.1% (444)
57.0% (646)
Away
42.8% (428)
59.1% (729)
By Period
McMichael
Staal
P1
42.5%
55.9%
P2
41.9%
55.4%
P3
42.5%
62.0%
OT
100.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
39.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2024 | OT | 01:05 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |