Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Norris 49.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 79.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 58.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 66.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
McMichael
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McMichael
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
50.0% (356)
-7.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
48.7% (76)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
42.9% (7)
-2.3%
On even strength, Norris has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
McMichael
Norris
Home
43.0% (298)
47.2% (193)
Away
42.5% (252)
51.6% (246)
By Period
McMichael
Norris
P1
46.5%
53.8%
P2
41.1%
48.2%
P3
41.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
44.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |