Connor McMichael vs Josh Norris
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Norris 52.1% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 86.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 88.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 91.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 88.2%
11.8%
88.2%
McMichael
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
McMichael
Norris
Last 10: McMichael 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
1
McMichael
Norris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
52.5% (3,057)
-9.4%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
53.7% (404)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
45.4% (240)
-7.1%
On even strength, Norris has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
McMichael
Norris
Home
42.6% (976)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
43.3% (904)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
McMichael
Norris
P1
43.3%
55.6%
P2
43.2%
51.4%
P3
41.9%
50.1%
OT
75.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
42.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Josh Norris |