Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Norris 51.9% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 82.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 78.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 79.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
McMichael
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McMichael
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
52.2% (542)
-8.8%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
54.4% (57)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
46.7% (30)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
McMichael
Norris
Home
42.1% (444)
50.7% (351)
Away
42.8% (428)
54.0% (278)
By Period
McMichael
Norris
P1
42.5%
55.6%
P2
41.9%
49.3%
P3
42.5%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
39.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |