Connor McMichael vs Nick Foligno
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Foligno 48.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 68.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 73.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 70.6%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
McMichael
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McMichael
Foligno
Last 7: McMichael 2-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
McMichael
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
McMichael
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
48.3% (2,810)
-5.2%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
52.3% (730)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
44.0% (455)
-5.7%
On power play, Foligno has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
McMichael
Foligno
Home
42.6% (976)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
43.3% (904)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
McMichael
Foligno
P1
43.3%
47.6%
P2
43.2%
50.4%
P3
41.9%
48.3%
OT
75.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
42.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |