Connor McMichael vs Nick Foligno

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nick Foligno holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.8% vs Foligno 49.8% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone Foligno 50.4%
Defensive zone Foligno 54.5%
Neutral zone Foligno 50.6%
Result Nick Foligno favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
McMichael Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
49.0% (261)
-6.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
57.1% (42)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
47.1% (51)
-6.5%
On power play, Foligno has a +8.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
McMichael
Foligno
Home
43.0% (298)
48.9% (178)
Away
42.5% (252)
50.6% (176)
By Period
McMichael
Foligno
P1
46.5%
40.4%
P2
41.1%
55.8%
P3
41.3%
51.2%
Final 5 min
44.0%
53.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.7%
Foligno
54.0%
48.0%
49.7%