Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Foligno 51.8% (-13.5%)
Offensive zone
McMichael 54.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 53.0%
Neutral zone
McMichael 50.7%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
McMichael
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
58.1% (31)
-15.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (6)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
McMichael
Foligno
Home
42.7% (178)
56.3% (16)
Away
43.1% (167)
56.5% (23)
By Period
McMichael
Foligno
P1
40.7%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
66.7%
P3
36.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%