Connor McMichael vs Robert Thomas
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Thomas 52.9% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 53.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 52.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 53.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
McMichael
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McMichael
Thomas
Last 5: McMichael 2-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
McMichael
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McMichael
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
53.2% (1,166)
-9.8%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
56.9% (262)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
48.4% (221)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
McMichael
Thomas
Home
42.1% (444)
51.6% (830)
Away
42.8% (428)
54.7% (819)
By Period
McMichael
Thomas
P1
42.5%
52.7%
P2
41.9%
55.6%
P3
42.5%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
39.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |