Connor McMichael vs Robert Thomas
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Thomas 51.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 76.5%
Defensive zone
McMichael 70.6%
Neutral zone
McMichael 75.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
McMichael
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
McMichael
Thomas
Last 10: McMichael 2-8 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
McMichael
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
4
McMichael
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
1
McMichael
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
51.1% (5,350)
-8.0%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
55.8% (921)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
49.9% (691)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
McMichael
Thomas
Home
42.6% (976)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
43.3% (904)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
McMichael
Thomas
P1
43.3%
50.6%
P2
43.2%
52.9%
P3
41.9%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
42.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |