Connor McMichael vs Robert Thomas
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Thomas 54.5% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 56.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 56.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
McMichael
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McMichael
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
55.3% (990)
-11.6%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
54.2% (190)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
52.5% (158)
+0.4%
On even strength, Thomas has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McMichael is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (39).
McMichael shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
McMichael
Thomas
Home
42.6% (54)
55.1% (690)
Away
50.9% (55)
54.5% (648)
By Period
McMichael
Thomas
P1
42.9%
55.5%
P2
40.5%
56.4%
P3
57.1%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |