Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs McLeod 50.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 54.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 55.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 55.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
McMichael
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McMichael
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
McMichael
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
McMichael
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
51.3% (628)
-7.9%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
68.3% (41)
-27.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
30.6% (49)
+0.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
McMichael
McLeod
Home
42.1% (444)
51.5% (394)
Away
42.8% (428)
50.0% (324)
By Period
McMichael
McLeod
P1
42.5%
51.5%
P2
41.9%
47.0%
P3
42.5%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |