Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs McLeod 52.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 78.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.6%
Neutral zone
McMichael 57.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
McMichael
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McMichael
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
McMichael
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
McMichael
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
52.9% (904)
-9.2%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
57.6% (59)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
49.0% (241)
+3.9%
On even strength, McLeod has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
McMichael shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
McMichael
McLeod
Home
42.6% (54)
51.8% (612)
Away
50.9% (55)
52.9% (592)
By Period
McMichael
McLeod
P1
42.9%
55.4%
P2
40.5%
50.8%
P3
57.1%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |