Connor McMichael vs Ryan McLeod

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan McLeod holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.8% vs McLeod 47.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor McLeod leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone McMichael 74.3%
Defensive zone McMichael 71.0%
Neutral zone McMichael 73.5%
Result Connor McMichael favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
McMichael McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 9 (10 meetings)
1
9
McMichael McLeod
Last 10: McMichael 1-9 McLeod

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
McMichael McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
McMichael McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
McMichael McLeod
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
49.2% (796)
-6.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
44.8% (87)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
43.3% (263)
-2.7%
On even strength, McLeod has a +6.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
McMichael
McLeod
Home
43.0% (298)
49.2% (575)
Away
42.5% (252)
45.9% (571)
By Period
McMichael
McLeod
P1
46.5%
52.8%
P2
41.1%
45.1%
P3
41.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
44.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.7%
McLeod
52.0%
51.5%
47.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 12, 2026 3 00:19 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Mar 12, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Mar 12, 2026 2 02:52 Offensive Ryan McLeod
Mar 12, 2026 2 02:47 Offensive Ryan McLeod
Mar 12, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Mar 12, 2026 1 09:55 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Mar 12, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Nov 1, 2025 2 18:10 Defensive Connor McMichael
Nov 1, 2025 2 06:07 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Nov 1, 2025 2 03:04 Offensive Ryan McLeod